This year I will be discussing the films by category instead of by individual film and will choose probable winners vs. those that I predict would actually take over the prize. Recently I finished watching Midnight in Paris and The Descendants (overrated, hence the Less Than Jake reference) so I've rounded out quite a few of the categories in the competition already. See below for my reviews.
Best Director
Should win: Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist- The first time Oscar nominee wowed audiences on the festival circuit this year with his bold take on the silent film genre now nominated ten times. This love note to the films of the past made with wit and humor I was lucky enough to see at Telluride. Hazanavicius's fresh vision has given something that general audiences and cinephiles can both appreciated and that should be appreciated
Will win: Michael Scorcese, Hugo- With his win for The Departed and five other nominations, the Oscar vet seems to have a slight edge in this competition only because he is Scorcese and people within the industry love him. Mea culpas for neglecting him in the past and voters wondering how many more Marty still has in him could also be a factor in his win. Scorcese's 3D win would also vouch for artistic use of the third dimension with other directors and making ticket sales more bankable, something studio heads would love as a result of this year's decreasing sales reports.
Best Original Screenplay
Should win: Asghar Farhadi, A Separation- Another film that I was fortunate about seeing at Telluride this year was this gem of an Iranian film. A foreign film with subtitles coming in at a little over two hours sounds like a good nap time but I was quite shocked by how taken I was with the film. The writing and story plot are suspenseful and keeps you second guessing who to trust within the context of the characters. I was standing ten feet away from Werner Herzog when I heard him tell Farhadi that the film was "the best he'd seen since The Bicycle Thief" so there must be something to this film.
Will win: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris- The man has has 3 Oscar wins (2 for Annie Hall and 1 for Hannah and Her Sisters) but has been nominated 21 times. Let me repeat, TWENTY ONE. My parents hated the film but then again, you have to like Allen in order to understand and love this film. Audiences seemed to like it and the all-star cast are encouraging. Midnight being Allen's highest grossing film to date should snag him the Oscar and ratio of wins to nominations.
Best Editing
Should win and Will win: Thelma Schoonmaker, Hugo- Some of the categories I am not too familiar with the criteria on how they will be judged so for the most part I will be making blind guesses. I'm assuming that Hugo will win based on the fact that it is the only 3D movie on the list. I do think the film is a tad bit too long but the only real competitor would be The Artist.
Best Art Direction
Should win: Stuart Craig and Stephanie McMillian, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2- This is another instance of not knowing too much about the category but I would like to see a win for this film. Craig and McMillian have worked on all of the Harry Potters films and think they deserve something for their fantastic vision.
Will win: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Hugo- Nominated for nine Oscars with 2 wins, I think Ferretti and Lo Schiavo will take the win on this one. It also helps that the film overall has been nominated a ton.
More to come! 21 down, 39 to go